September 12, 2019 4:14 PM CDT

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos 9/15/2019

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Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 55% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mike Davis is averaging 34 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Phillip Lindsay is averaging 60 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Chicago BearsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road Games0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp0-0-0Non-Division Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Chicago BearsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-5-1All Games6-9-1Chicago Bears
Road Games5-3-0Home Games2-5-0Chicago Bears
When Favored8-4-1When Underdog4-5-0Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp6-5-0Non-Division Opp4-5-1Chicago Bears
Opp Under .5005-2-1Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Chicago Bears

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago BearsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season6-10-1All Totals Last Season3-13-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-4-1At Home Last Season1-7-0UNDER

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