October 14, 2018 11:04 AM CDT

Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans 10/14/2018

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The Houston Texans are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. Lamar Miller is projected for 82 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Josh Allen averages 1.32 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 1.9 interceptions. LeSean McCoy averages 93 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 63 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. The Houston Texans has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-3-0All Games1-4-0Buffalo Bills
Road Games1-2-0Home Games0-2-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored1-3-0Buffalo Bills
Non-Division Opp2-3-0Non-Division Opp0-3-0Buffalo Bills
Opp Under .5000-1-0Opp Under .5001-2-0Houston Texans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games10-6-1All Games7-9-0Buffalo Bills
Road Games5-4-0Home Games3-5-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog5-5-0When Favored1-3-0Buffalo Bills
Non-Division Opp7-3-1Non-Division Opp6-4-0Buffalo Bills
Opp Under .5003-2-1Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Buffalo Bills


Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDHouston TexansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0UNDER
On Road1-2-0At Home1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-9-1All Totals Last Season8-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-6-0At Home Last Season4-4-0UNDER

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