January 18, 2022 10:03 AM CST

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans 1/22/2022

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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 42% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Joe Burrow is averaging 290 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 46%. Derrick Henry is averaging 81 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-8-0All Games10-7-0Tennessee Titans
Road Games5-3-0Home Games6-3-0Tennessee Titans
When Underdog5-2-0When Favored4-6-0Cincinnati Bengals
Non-Division Opp6-6-0Non-Division Opp6-5-0Tennessee Titans
Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Tennessee Titans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-9-1All Games10-8-1Tennessee Titans
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Underdog6-6-1When Favored4-4-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp7-5-1Tennessee Titans
Opp .500+ Record3-4-1Opp Under .5003-3-1Tennessee Titans

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDTennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-10-0UNDER
On Road2-6-0At Home1-8-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season8-8-0All Totals Last Season11-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season5-3-0UNDER

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