September 22, 2022 9:19 AM CDT

UNLV vs Utah State 9/24/2022

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UNLV winning 48% of simulations, and Utah State 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UNLV commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Aidan Robbins is averaging 190 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (47% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Pailate Makakona is averaging 87 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST +3 --- Over/Under line is 60.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

UNLVATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1/1/2000UNLV
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games1-0-0No Edge
When Favored1-0-0When Underdog1/1/2000UNLV
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

UNLVATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7/3/2000All Games8/4/2000UNLV
Road & Neutral Field4/2/2000Home Games2/3/2000UNLV
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog5/2/2000No Edge
Conference Opp5/2/2000Conference Opp5/3/2000UNLV
Opp .500+ Record4/2/2000Opp Under .5003/2/2000UNLV

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

UNLVO-U-P RECORDUtah StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)0-2-0UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5/5/2000All Totals Last Season4/8/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season4/2/2000At Home Last Season2/3/2000OVER

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