September 22, 2022 9:19 AM CDT

Hawaii vs New Mexico State 9/24/2022

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Hawaii winning 52% of simulations, and New Mexico State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Hawaii commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. New Mexico State wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brayden Schager is averaging 307 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Jamoni Jones is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST -3 --- Over/Under line is 54

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

HawaiiATS RECORDNew Mexico StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games3/1/2000New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games1-0-0No Edge
When Underdog1/2/2000When Favored0-1-0Hawaii
Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000Non-Conference Opp3/1/2000New Mexico State
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5001/1/2000No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

HawaiiATS RECORDNew Mexico StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5/6/2000All Games5/5/2000New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field2/5/2000Home Games1/3/2000Hawaii
When Underdog4/4/2000When Favored1-0-0New Mexico State
Non-Conference Opp1/3/2000Non-Conference Opp5/5/2000New Mexico State
Opp Under .5002/3/2000Opp Under .5002/1/2000New Mexico State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

HawaiiO-U-P RECORDNew Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)1/3/2000UNDER
On Road1-0-0At Home0-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season6/5/2000All Totals Last Season6/4/2000OVER
On Road Last Season4/3/2000At Home Last Season2/2/2000OVER

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