September 22, 2022 9:19 AM CDT

Ball State vs Georgia Southern 9/24/2022

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Ball State winning 42% of simulations, and Georgia Southern 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Ball State commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Georgia Southern wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. John Paddock is averaging 266 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Amare Jones is averaging 174 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (44% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GASO -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 62.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ball StateATS RECORDGeorgia SouthernATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/1/2000All Games1/1/2000No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Non-Conference Opp1/1/2000Georgia Southern
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp Under .5001/1/2000No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ball StateATS RECORDGeorgia SouthernATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4/8/2000All Games6/5/2000Georgia Southern
Road & Neutral Field2/4/2000Home Games3/2/2000Georgia Southern
When Underdog2/4/2000When Favored1-0-0Georgia Southern
Non-Conference Opp1/3/2000Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000Georgia Southern
Opp Under .5002/3/2000Opp Under .5004/2/2000Georgia Southern

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ball StateO-U-P RECORDGeorgia SouthernO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season5/7/2000All Totals Last Season5/6/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season4/2/2000At Home Last Season1/4/2000UNDER

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