December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Army vs Navy 12/08/2018 Game Forecast Preview  
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Army is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Navy. Darnell Woolfolk is projected for 101 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Navy wins, Zach Abey averages 0.79 TD passes vs 0.14 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.39 TDs to 0.16 interceptions. Malcolm Perry averages 63 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Navy wins and 59 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Army has a 13% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY +6.5 --- Over/Under line is 41.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games6-3-0All Games5-5-1Army
Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Army
When Favored3-2-0When Underdog4-2-1Navy
Non-Conference Opp5-3-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Army
Opp Under .5002-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-1Navy

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-6-1All Games5-8-0Army
Road & Neutral Field4-2-1Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Army
When Favored1-4-0When Underdog2-2-0Navy
Non-Conference Opp5-6-1Non-Conference Opp4-2-0Navy
Opp .500+ Record1-1-1Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Army


All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-6-0No Edge
On Road4-1-0At Home2-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-6-0All Totals Last Season5-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-4-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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