December 30, 2018 12:15 PM CST

South Carolina vs Virginia 12/29/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with South Carolina winning 50% of simulations, and Virginia 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. South Carolina commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rico Dowdle is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Bryce Perkins is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

South CarolinaATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games8-4-0Virginia
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Road & Neutral Field4-2-0No Edge
When Favored3-4-0When Underdog5-1-0Virginia
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Virginia
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Virginia

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

South CarolinaATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-3-0All Games6-6-0South Carolina
Road & Neutral Field6-0-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0South Carolina
When Favored2-2-0When Underdog4-5-0South Carolina
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5003-0-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0South Carolina

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

South CarolinaO-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0OVER
On Road3-3-0At Home3-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season5-7-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0No Edge
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season3-3-0UNDER

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