December 30, 2018 12:15 PM CST

Florida International vs Toledo 12/21/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida International winning 48% of simulations, and Toledo 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida International commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Toledo wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Anthony Jones is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Bryant Koback is averaging 105 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -4.5 --- Over/Under line is 59

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Florida InternationalATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-3-0All Games5-7-0Florida International
Road & Neutral Field6-0-0Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Florida International
When Underdog4-1-0When Favored4-4-0Florida International
Non-Conference Opp3-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Florida International
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Florida International

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Florida InternationalATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-6-0All Games7-6-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Toledo
When Underdog5-4-0When Favored7-5-0Toledo
Non-Conference Opp3-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Florida International
Opp .500+ Record4-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Florida International

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida InternationalO-U-P RECORDToledoO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-4-0OVER
On Road4-2-0At Home4-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-4-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season2-3-0OVER

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