December 30, 2018 12:15 PM CST

UAB vs Northern Illinois 12/18/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UAB winning 44% of simulations, and Northern Illinois 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UAB commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Northern Illinois wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Spencer Brown is averaging 92 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Tre Harbison is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 43.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

UABATS RECORDNorthern IllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-4-0All Games7-7-0UAB
Road & Neutral Field5-3-0Road & Neutral Field5-4-0UAB
When Favored5-3-0When Underdog4-3-0UAB
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-3-0UAB
Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Northern Illinois

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

UABATS RECORDNorthern IllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-4-0All Games5-7-0UAB
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Road & Neutral Field3-4-0No Edge
When Favored2-1-0When Underdog3-2-0UAB
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Northern Illinois
Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0UAB

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

UABO-U-P RECORDNorthern IllinoisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-9-0UNDER
On Road4-4-0At Home0-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-8-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-5-0At Home Last Season3-2-0UNDER

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