November 12, 2019 7:44 AM CST

Louisville vs Miami (FL) 11/9/2019

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisville winning 44% of simulations, and Miami (FL) 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisville commits fewer turnovers in 4% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Miami (FL) wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Javian Hawkins is averaging 144 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. DeeJay Dallas is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (44% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA -7 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

LouisvilleATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2/5/2000All Games3/6/2000Miami (FL)
Road & Neutral Field0-3-0Home Games1/4/2000Miami (FL)
When Underdog2/3/2000When Favored1/6/2000Louisville
Conference Opp1/4/2000Conference Opp3/3/2000Miami (FL)
Opp .500+ Record1/4/2000Opp Under .5000-2-0Louisville

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

LouisvilleATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/10/2000All Games4/8/2000Miami (FL)
Road & Neutral Field0-5-0Home Games2/3/2000Miami (FL)
When Underdog1/8/2000When Favored4/7/2000Miami (FL)
Conference Opp1/7/2000Conference Opp3/5/2000Miami (FL)
Opp .500+ Record0-6-0Opp Under .5002-0-0Miami (FL)

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

LouisvilleO-U-P RECORDMiami (FL)O-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3/4/2000All Totals (O-U-P)3/6/2000UNDER
On Road2/1/2000At Home2/3/2000No Edge
All Totals Last Season7/4/2000All Totals Last Season5/7/2000OVER
On Road Last Season3/2/2000At Home Last Season2/3/2000No Edge

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