November 22, 2022 12:31 PM CST

Notre Dame vs USC 11/26/2022

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Notre Dame winning 46% of simulations, and USC 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Notre Dame commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. USC wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Holton Ahlers is averaging 256 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Justin Lynch is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USC -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 64

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Notre DameATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6/5/2000All Games7/4/2000USC
Road & Neutral Field3/1/2000Home Games4/2/2000Notre Dame
When Underdog4-0-0When Favored6/4/2000Notre Dame
Non-Conference Opp5/5/2000Non-Conference Opp2-0-0USC
Opp .500+ Record4/4/2000Opp .500+ Record4/1/2000USC

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Notre DameATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9/4/2000All Games4/8/2000Notre Dame
Road & Neutral Field4/1/2000Home Games2/5/2000Notre Dame
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored3/4/2000Notre Dame
Non-Conference Opp9/4/2000Non-Conference Opp2/1/2000Notre Dame
Opp Under .5003-0-0Opp .500+ Record1/4/2000Notre Dame

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Notre DameO-U-P RECORDUSCO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5/4/2002All Totals (O-U-P)8/3/2000OVER
On Road3/1/2000At Home4/2/2000OVER
All Totals Last Season7/6/2000All Totals Last Season7/5/2000OVER
On Road Last Season4/1/2000At Home Last Season6/1/2000OVER

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