AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Toledo winning 57% of simulations, and Western Michigan 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Toledo commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. Western Michigan wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. CJ Verdell is averaging 70 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Sam Noyer is averaging 97 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WMICH +7.5 --- Over/Under line is 53
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Toledo | ATS RECORD | Western Michigan | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4/6/2000 | All Games | 3/7/2000 | Toledo |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1/4/2000 | Home Games | 0-4-0 | Toledo |
| When Favored | 4/5/2000 | When Underdog | 3/5/2000 | Toledo |
| Conference Opp | 3/4/2000 | Conference Opp | 3/4/2000 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 4/1/2000 | Opp .500+ Record | 1/2/2000 | Toledo |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Toledo | ATS RECORD | Western Michigan | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7/5/2000 | All Games | 5/6/2000 | Toledo |
| Road & Neutral Field | 5/1/2000 | Home Games | 1/3/2000 | Toledo |
| When Favored | 5/5/2000 | When Underdog | 1/1/2000 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 5/3/2000 | Conference Opp | 3/5/2000 | Toledo |
| Opp Under .500 | 6/2/2000 | Opp .500+ Record | 3/2/2000 | Toledo |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toledo | O-U-P RECORD | Western Michigan | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5/5/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3/7/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2/3/2000 | At Home | 1/3/2000 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6/6/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 7/4/2000 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3/3/2000 | At Home Last Season | 4-0-0 | OVER |
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