November 22, 2022 12:31 PM CST

Florida vs Florida State 11/25/2022

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 40% of simulations, and Florida State 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Florida State wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Spencer Rattler is averaging 279 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. Tyler Shough is averaging 343 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 57.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

FloridaATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4/6/2000All Games8/2/2000Florida State
Road & Neutral Field2/2/2000Home Games3/2/2000Florida State
When Underdog3/1/2000When Favored6/1/2000Florida State
Non-Conference Opp1/1/2000Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Florida State
Opp .500+ Record2/4/2000Opp .500+ Record4/2/2000Florida State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

FloridaATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4/8/2000All Games4/7/2000Florida State
Road & Neutral Field0-5-0Home Games2/4/2000Florida State
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored0-2-0Florida
Non-Conference Opp1/3/2000Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000Florida State
Opp Under .5001/3/2000Opp Under .5001/3/2000No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

FloridaO-U-P RECORDFlorida StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4/5/2001All Totals (O-U-P)4/6/2000UNDER
On Road2/2/2000At Home3/2/2000OVER
All Totals Last Season4/8/2000All Totals Last Season4/7/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season3/2/2000At Home Last Season3/3/2000OVER

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