October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina 10/13/2018

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Virginia Tech is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over North Carolina. Ryan Willis is averaging 225 passing yards and 2.04 TDs per simulation and Steven Peoples is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 51% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where North Carolina wins, Nathan Elliott averages 2.03 TD passes vs 0.9 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.98 TDs to 1.23 interceptions. Antonio Williams averages 57 rushing yards and 0.64 rushing TDs when North Carolina wins and 48 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Virginia Tech has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UNC +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 58

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-2-0All Games2-2-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field2-1-0Home Games1-0-0North Carolina
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog2-1-0North Carolina
Conference Opp2-0-0Conference Opp1-1-0Virginia Tech
Opp Under .5000-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0North Carolina

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games6-6-0All Games4-7-0Virginia Tech
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games1-5-0Virginia Tech
When Favored6-4-0When Underdog3-6-0Virginia Tech
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp3-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .5003-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-6-0Virginia Tech


Virginia TechO-U-P RECORDNorth CarolinaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-1-1OVER
On Road1-2-0At Home1-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season3-8-1All Totals Last Season5-6-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-4-1At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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