October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

UCLA vs California 10/13/2018

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California is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat UCLA. Patrick Laird is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where UCLA wins, Dorian Thompson-Robinson averages 1.93 TD passes vs 0.96 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.93 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Kazmeir Allen averages 41 rushing yards and 0.42 rushing TDs when UCLA wins and 34 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. California has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL -7 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-3-0All Games1-3-0UCLA
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games0-2-0UCLA
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored0-2-0UCLA
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp0-2-0UCLA
Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Opp Under .5000-1-0UCLA

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games4-9-0All Games8-4-0California
Road & Neutral Field1-6-0Home Games5-1-0California
When Underdog1-5-0When Favored1-1-0California
Conference Opp3-6-0Conference Opp6-3-0California
Opp Under .5000-3-0Opp Under .5002-1-0California


All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-3-0UNDER
On Road1-1-0At Home1-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season7-6-0All Totals Last Season5-6-0No Edge
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season2-3-0No Edge

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