October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Mississippi vs Arkansas 10/13/2018

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Mississippi is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Arkansas. Scottie Phillips is projected for 55 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Arkansas wins, Ty Storey averages 2.19 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Devwah Whaley averages 88 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Arkansas wins and 73 yards and 0.51 TDs in losses. Mississippi has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARK +6 --- Over/Under line is 70.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-3-0All Games2-3-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games1-1-0No Edge
When Favored1-1-0When Underdog2-1-0Arkansas
Conference Opp0-2-0Conference Opp2-1-0Arkansas
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Mississippi

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games4-6-1All Games4-7-0Mississippi
Road & Neutral Field2-2-1Home Games3-3-0No Edge
When Favored2-4-0When Underdog3-5-0Arkansas
Conference Opp3-4-1Conference Opp3-5-0Mississippi
Opp Under .5002-1-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Arkansas


All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-4-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field2-0-0On Road & Neutral Field0-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season8-3-0All Totals Last Season6-4-0OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '173-2-0On Road & Neutral Field '173-2-0OVER

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