October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Florida vs Vanderbilt 10/13/2018

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Florida is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Vanderbilt. Dameon Pierce is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Vanderbilt wins, Kyle Shurmur averages 2.45 TD passes vs 0.65 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.18 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. Ke\'Shawn Vaughn averages 59 rushing yards and 0.66 rushing TDs when Vanderbilt wins and 50 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Florida has a 27% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN +7 --- Over/Under line is 51

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-1-0All Games3-2-0Florida
Road & Neutral Field2-0-0Home Games2-1-0Florida
When Favored2-1-0When Underdog1-2-0Florida
Conference Opp3-1-0Conference Opp0-2-0Florida
Opp Under .5001-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Florida

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games3-8-0All Games4-7-0Vanderbilt
Road & Neutral Field0-5-0Home Games2-4-0Vanderbilt
When Favored3-3-0When Underdog2-6-0Florida
Conference Opp2-6-0Conference Opp1-7-0Florida
Opp Under .5000-2-0Opp Under .5001-2-0Vanderbilt


All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-4-0UNDER
On Road1-1-0At Home0-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-5-0All Totals Last Season7-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-1-0At Home Last Season3-3-0OVER

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