October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Georgia Southern vs Texas State 10/11/2018

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Georgia Southern is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Texas State. Shai Werts is averaging 130 passing yards and 1.53 TDs per simulation and Shai Werts is projected for 96 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Texas State wins, Tyler Vitt averages 1.69 TD passes vs 0.38 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.84 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Caleb Twyford averages 63 rushing yards and 0.52 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 56 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Georgia Southern has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST +17 --- Over/Under line is 49.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-0-0All Games2-2-0Georgia Southern
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games0-1-0Georgia Southern
When Favored2-0-0When Underdog2-2-0Georgia Southern
Conference Opp2-0-0Conference Opp1-1-0Georgia Southern
Opp Under .5002-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games4-6-1All Games5-6-0Texas State
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games2-3-0Georgia Southern
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog5-6-0No Edge
Conference Opp4-3-1Conference Opp4-4-0Georgia Southern
Opp Under .5002-3-1Opp Under .5001-4-0Georgia Southern


Georgia SouthernO-U-P RECORDTexas StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0No Edge
On Road1-0-0At Home1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-3-0All Totals Last Season6-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season4-1-0OVER

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