December 30, 2018 12:15 PM CST

Mississippi State vs Iowa 01/01/2019 Game Forecast Preview  
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Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Iowa. Nick Fitzgerald is averaging 178 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Kylin Hill is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Iowa wins, Nathan Stanley averages 1.13 TD passes vs 5.49 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.48 TDs to 6.3 interceptions. Mekhi Sargent averages 92 rushing yards and 1.02 rushing TDs when Iowa wins and 72 yards and 0.45 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 99% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA +7 --- Over/Under line is 42.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games8-3-0All Games8-3-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Road & Neutral Field5-0-0Iowa
When Favored6-2-0When Underdog2-1-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp3-0-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Iowa

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-5-0All Games7-5-1No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0No Edge
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog2-2-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-1Mississippi State


All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0UNDER
On Road0-5-0At Home2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season2-5-0UNDER

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