September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 9/22/2022

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 49-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 40-32 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays\' starter J.T. Chargois is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Jose Berrios. J.T. Chargois has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Berrios has a 35% chance of a QS. If J.T. Chargois has a quality start the Rays has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 62%. In Jose Berrios quality starts the Blue Jays win 70%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Harold Ramirez who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-32, 56% 142Record at Home49-25, 66% 788Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays7-8, 47% -263VS Toronto Blue Jays8-7, 53% 275Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better39-43, 48% -1220vs Team .500 or Better37-39, 49% -511Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite30-21, 59% -62Record as Home Underdog7-7, 50% 113Tampa Bay Rays
When Jose Berrios Starts22-7, 76% 789When J.T. Chargois Starts0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-2, 85% 600Record at Home10-2, 83% 415Toronto Blue Jays
VS Tampa Bay Rays3-2, 60% 4VS Toronto Blue Jays2-3, 40% -22Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% -178vs Team .500 or Better8-6, 57% 67Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite10-2, 83% 413Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays
When Jose Berrios Starts5-0, 100% 300When J.T. Chargois Starts0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-35, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-36, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-47, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-38, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS17-10, 63% OverOVER-UNDER IN J.T. Chargois STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-47, 35% -2356 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 35-39, 47% -833 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-10, 23% -710 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-7, 42% -277

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 40-32, 56% -192 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 48-26, 65% +518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 10-3, 77% +342 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 9-3, 75% +245

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 39-28, 58% + 820 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 32-30, 52% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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