September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres 9/22/2022

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The San Diego Padres are 37-32 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 36-34 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Joe Musgrove is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Jack Flaherty. Joe Musgrove has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Flaherty has a 28% chance of a QS. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Padres has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 66%. In Jack Flaherty quality starts the Cardinals win 69%. He has a 1% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.64 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-34, 51% -293Record at Home37-32, 54% -807St. Louis Cardinals
VS San Diego Padres3-0, 100% 277VS St. Louis Cardinals0-3, 0% -300St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better27-30, 47% -180vs Team .500 or Better21-32, 40% -791St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog10-19, 34% -620Record As Home Favorite33-27, 55% -758St. Louis Cardinals
When Jack Flaherty Starts3-3, 50% -144When Joe Musgrove Starts18-9, 67% 400San Diego Padres

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% -57Record at Home3-5, 38% -249St. Louis Cardinals
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 75vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -194St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite2-3, 40% -195St. Louis Cardinals
When Jack Flaherty Starts2-1, 67% -18When Joe Musgrove Starts4-1, 80% 190San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-36, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-38, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-36, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Joe Musgrove STARTS16-11, 59% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 29-41, 41% -1758 San Diego Padres Home Games: 35-34, 51% +415 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -275 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-4, 50% +66

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-34, 51% -893 San Diego Padres Home Games: 36-33, 52% -1105 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -413 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-5, 38% -330

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 31-29, 52% -90 San Diego Padres Home Games: 34-30, 53% + 100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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