September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals 9/22/2022

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The Minnesota Twins are 30-41 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 34-41 at home. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Josh Winder is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Jon Heasley. Josh Winder has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jon Heasley has a 34% chance of a QS. If Josh Winder has a quality start the Twins has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 62%. In Jon Heasley quality starts the Royals win 68%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is MJ Melendez who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Kyle Garlick who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 77% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-41, 42% -1142Record at Home34-41, 45% -385Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals12-4, 75% 326VS Minnesota Twins4-12, 25% -697Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .50039-24, 62% 205vs Team .500 or Better29-51, 36% -1015Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite15-17, 47% -608Record as Home Underdog24-29, 45% 24Kansas City Royals
When Josh Winder Starts3-4, 43% -109When Jon Heasley Starts5-11, 31% -429Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-11, 21% -766Record at Home4-7, 36% -251Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals3-0, 100% 156VS Minnesota Twins0-3, 0% -300Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .5008-1, 89% 426vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -206Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog3-5, 38% -116Minnesota Twins
When Josh Winder Starts0-2, 0% -200When Jon Heasley Starts2-3, 40% -50Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-29, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-34, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-39, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Josh Winder STARTS2-4, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jon Heasley STARTS12-4, 75% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 34-37, 48% -1356 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 46-29, 61% +1471 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-8, 43% -356 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-3, 73% +396

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 41-30, 58% +187 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 43-32, 57% +103 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 12-2, 86% +603 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-5, 55% -110

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 30-28, 52% -80 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 30-36, 45% -960 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580

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