September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds 9/22/2022

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-41 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 29-43 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers\' starter Brandon Woodruff is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Hunter Greene. Brandon Woodruff has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Greene has a 40% chance of a QS. If Brandon Woodruff has a quality start the Brewers has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 60%. In Hunter Greene quality starts the Reds win 60%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rowdy Tellez who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 78% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-41, 47% -904Record at Home29-43, 40% -1055Milwaukee Brewers
VS Cincinnati Reds10-5, 67% 45VS Milwaukee Brewers5-10, 33% -160Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50047-40, 54% -1183vs Team .500 or Better27-56, 33% -1379Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite23-28, 45% -1239Record as Home Underdog17-25, 40% -149Cincinnati Reds
When Brandon Woodruff Starts15-9, 62% -11When Hunter Greene Starts5-16, 24% -1010Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-8, 27% -503Record at Home3-7, 30% -347Cincinnati Reds
VS Cincinnati Reds2-1, 67% -28VS Milwaukee Brewers1-2, 33% -71Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .5009-5, 64% -84vs Team .500 or Better4-10, 29% -215Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite2-5, 29% -369Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -118Cincinnati Reds
When Brandon Woodruff Starts3-2, 60% -47When Hunter Greene Starts0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-33, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-31, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-32, 58% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Woodruff STARTS12-11, 52% OverOVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS9-12, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 41-36, 53% +1132 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 34-38, 47% -415 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +310 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 6-4, 60% +179

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 40-37, 52% -433 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 31-41, 43% -1911 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +346 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 2-8, 20% -709

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 27-34, 44% -1040 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 24-34, 41% -1340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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