September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles 9/22/2022

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The Houston Astros are 46-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 41-30 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Justin Verlander is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter Kyle Bradish. Justin Verlander has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Bradish has a 31% chance of a QS. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Astros has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 69%. In Kyle Bradish quality starts the Orioles win 57%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 44% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 78% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Houston AstrosRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road46-28, 62% 564Record at Home41-30, 58% 1533Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles1-2, 33% -165VS Houston Astros2-1, 67% 245Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better33-23, 59% 117vs Team .500 or Better37-42, 47% 1304Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite39-19, 67% 659Record as Home Underdog27-22, 55% 1326Baltimore Orioles
When Justin Verlander Starts19-6, 76% 386When Kyle Bradish Starts11-8, 58% 653Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Houston AstrosRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-1, 88% 285Record at Home6-7, 46% -217Houston Astros
VS Baltimore Orioles1-2, 33% -165VS Houston Astros2-1, 67% 245Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -155vs Team .500 or Better8-8, 50% 330Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite7-0, 100% 385Record as Home Underdog3-4, 43% -94Houston Astros
When Justin Verlander Starts3-0, 100% 92When Kyle Bradish Starts3-2, 60% 236Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-43, 37% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-34, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-35, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS5-18, 22% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Bradish STARTS11-7, 61% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 30-44, 41% -2065 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 36-35, 51% +515 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 0-8, 0% -800 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-6, 54% -4

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 42-32, 57% -299 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 36-35, 51% -844 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-2, 75% +114 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-5, 62% +103

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 29-31, 48% -510 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 33-25, 57% + 550 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 1-5, 17% -450 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150

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