September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates 9/22/2022

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-41 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 31-40 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Mitch Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Hayden Wesneski. Mitch Keller has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hayden Wesneski has a 35% chance of a QS. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 64%. In Hayden Wesneski quality starts the Cubs win 66%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road31-40, 44% 318Record at Home29-41, 41% -314Chicago Cubs
VS Pittsburgh Pirates7-8, 47% -307VS Chicago Cubs8-7, 53% 208Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50030-31, 49% -556vs Team Under .50033-38, 46% -147Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog26-33, 44% 645Record As Home Favorite7-9, 44% -369Chicago Cubs
When Hayden Wesneski Starts2-4, 33% -75When Mitch Keller Starts8-18, 31% -467Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-7, 42% 418Record at Home2-8, 20% -451Chicago Cubs
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-6, 33% -343vs Team Under .5004-0, 100% 461Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog5-7, 42% 418Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
When Hayden Wesneski Starts2-1, 67% 225When Mitch Keller Starts2-3, 40% 24Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-36, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-32, 52% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Hayden Wesneski STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS10-14, 42% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 39-32, 55% +560 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 30-40, 43% -297 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-4, 67% +572 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-8, 20% -430

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 37-34, 52% -1127 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-32, 54% -749 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-5, 58% -181 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-3, 70% +24

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 28-29, 49% -390 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 24-30, 44% -900 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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