September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees 9/22/2022

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The New York Yankees are 49-22 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 34-38 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Jameson Taillon has a 54% chance of a QS and Michael Wacha a 51% chance. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Yankees has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 57%. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Red Sox has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Boston Red SoxRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road34-38, 47% -294Record at Home49-22, 69% 498New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees6-9, 40% -152VS Boston Red Sox9-6, 60% -6New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better41-57, 42% -1505vs Team .500 or Better47-40, 54% -747New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog17-26, 40% -453Record As Home Favorite48-21, 70% 463New York Yankees
When Michael Wacha Starts15-6, 71% 811When Jameson Taillon Starts21-8, 72% 641Boston Red Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Boston Red SoxRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -286Record at Home6-2, 75% 217New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-2, 0% -200VS Boston Red Sox2-0, 100% 145New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better4-10, 29% -611vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% -250New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -286Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75% 217New York Yankees
When Michael Wacha Starts4-1, 80% 238When Jameson Taillon Starts4-1, 80% 165Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-36, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-33, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON34-47, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-42, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS8-13, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS15-13, 54% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 44-28, 61% +1260 New York Yankees Home Games: 40-31, 56% -40 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-2, 78% +385 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-2, 75% +328

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 45-27, 62% +830 New York Yankees Home Games: 50-21, 70% +745 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-2, 78% +345 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-0, 100% +635

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 30-29, 51% -190 New York Yankees Home Games: 29-30, 49% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-5, 29% -350 New York Yankees Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30

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