September 22, 2022 8:58 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9/22/2022

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 49-18 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 29-39 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Julio Urias is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Zac Gallen. Julio Urias has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zac Gallen has a 43% chance of a QS. If Julio Urias has a quality start the Dodgers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 70%. In Zac Gallen quality starts the Diamondbacks win 55%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Josh Rojas who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-39, 43% -203Record at Home49-18, 73% 658Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-11, 21% -644VS Arizona Diamondbacks11-3, 79% 237Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better25-45, 36% -1123vs Team .500 or Better31-21, 60% -42Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog24-35, 41% -176Record As Home Favorite49-18, 73% 658Los Angeles Dodgers
When Zac Gallen Starts18-10, 64% 670When Julio Urias Starts20-9, 69% 132Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 256Record at Home6-2, 75% 75Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-2, 33% -75VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-1, 67% -5Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better11-9, 55% 531vs Team .500 or Better9-5, 64% 17Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog3-3, 50% 237Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75% 75Arizona Diamondbacks
When Zac Gallen Starts3-2, 60% 34When Julio Urias Starts4-0, 100% 174Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD34-34, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-31, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS13-15, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Julio Urias STARTS11-17, 39% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 30-38, 44% -489 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 35-32, 52% +371 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-5, 55% +182 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-3, 62% +172

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 36-32, 53% -936 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 46-21, 69% +146 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-5, 55% -57 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-2, 75% +75

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 25-37, 40% -1570 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 29-27, 52% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-0, 100% + 600

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