September 19, 2023 3:31 AM CDT

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics 9/19/2023

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The Seattle Mariners are 41-34 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 24-50 at home. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter Paul Blackburn. Luis Castillo has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Paul Blackburn has a 41% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 62%. In Paul Blackburn quality starts the Athletics win 64%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Zack Gelof who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is J.P. Crawford who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-34, 55% 363Record at Home24-50, 32% -1260Seattle Mariners
VS Oakland Athletics9-1, 90% 280VS Seattle Mariners1-9, 10% -640Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .50049-25, 66% 691vs Team .500 or Better23-70, 25% -2724Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite20-19, 51% -548Record as Home Underdog23-49, 32% -1234Seattle Mariners
When Luis Castillo Starts16-12, 57% -258When Paul Blackburn Starts11-9, 55% 700Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -112Record at Home6-7, 46% -38Oakland Athletics
VS Oakland Athletics2-1, 67% -29VS Seattle Mariners1-2, 33% 60Oakland Athletics
vs Team Under .50011-4, 73% 164vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% 4Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite5-5, 50% -164Record as Home Underdog5-7, 42% -112Oakland Athletics
When Luis Castillo Starts4-0, 100% 192When Paul Blackburn Starts3-2, 60% 176Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD38-33, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-35, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-3, 75% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-5, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-37, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS15-13, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Paul Blackburn STARTS8-11, 42% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 33-42, 44% -1289 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 36-38, 49% -408 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 8-6, 57% -81 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 5-8, 38% -381

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 38-37, 51% -722 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 46-28, 62% -275 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 8-6, 57% -6 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 7-6, 54% -161

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 33-27, 55% + 330 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 24-37, 39% -1670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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