September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins 9/11/2019

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The Minnesota Twins are 41-30 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 38-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Stephen Strasburg is forecasted to have a better game than Twins\' starter Martin Perez. Stephen Strasburg has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Martin Perez has a 31% chance of a QS. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 52%. In Martin Perez quality starts the Twins win 73%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Nelson Cruz who averaged 2.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Washington NationalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-34, 53% -37Record at Home41-30, 58% 282Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better36-42, 46% -918vs Team .500 or Better28-35, 44% -4Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite21-17, 55% -306Record as Home Underdog9-5, 64% 976Minnesota Twins
When Stephen Strasburg Starts17-11, 61% 117When Martin Perez Starts16-11, 59% 237Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Washington NationalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 192Record at Home4-5, 44% 218Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better9-5, 64% 248vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 181Washington Nationals
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 62% 53Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 588Minnesota Twins
When Stephen Strasburg Starts2-2, 50% -56When Martin Perez Starts4-1, 80% 327Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD34-34, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME34-32, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS16-12, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS15-12, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 30-42, 42% -1662 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 40-31, 56% +93 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-8, 27% -492 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-5, 44% +218

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 35-37, 49% -1181 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 39-32, 55% -703 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -421 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-6, 33% -470

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 35-30, 54% + 200 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-30, 49% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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