September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies 9/11/2019

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The Colorado Rockies are 34-35 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 35-36 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Antonio Senzatela has a 16% chance of a QS and Dakota Hudson a 15% chance. If Antonio Senzatela has a quality start the Rockies has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 55%. If Dakota Hudson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Nolan Arenado who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-36, 49% -212Record at Home34-35, 49% -835St. Louis Cardinals
VS Colorado Rockies4-0, 100% 230VS St. Louis Cardinals0-4, 0% -400St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50048-27, 64% 980vs Team .500 or Better31-55, 36% -1841St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite14-11, 56% -59Record as Home Underdog7-14, 33% -554St. Louis Cardinals
When Dakota Hudson Starts20-8, 71% 911When Antonio Senzatela Starts9-11, 45% -66St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 310Record at Home5-8, 38% -445St. Louis Cardinals
VS Colorado Rockies4-0, 100% 230VS St. Louis Cardinals0-4, 0% -400St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50014-4, 78% 525vs Team .500 or Better3-17, 15% -1390St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite5-2, 71% 125Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -182St. Louis Cardinals
When Dakota Hudson Starts5-0, 100% 326When Antonio Senzatela Starts0-3, 0% -300St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-32, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-29, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-47, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS11-16, 41% OverOVER-UNDER IN Antonio Senzatela STARTS11-8, 58% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 33-38, 46% -785 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 38-31, 55% +239 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-7, 42% -228 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-8, 38% -445

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 38-33, 54% -316 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 40-29, 58% +4 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-5, 58% +46 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 7-6, 54% -121

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 28-24, 54% + 160 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 26-36, 42% -1360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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