September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants 9/11/2019

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-40 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 30-39 at home. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Logan Webb has a 20% chance of a QS and Dario Agrazal a 23% chance. If Logan Webb has a quality start the Giants has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 45%. If Dario Agrazal has a quality start the Pirates has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 69%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Mike Yastrzemski who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Josh Bell who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 71% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-40, 44% 54Record at Home30-39, 43% -855Pittsburgh Pirates
VS San Francisco Giants3-1, 75% 190VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-3, 25% -166Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50036-15, 71% 2124vs Team Under .50030-26, 54% 706Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog27-40, 40% -370Record As Home Favorite13-13, 50% -243San Francisco Giants
When Dario Agrazal Starts5-6, 45% 63When Logan Webb Starts1-2, 33% -61Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-3, 73% 637Record at Home2-7, 22% -536Pittsburgh Pirates
VS San Francisco Giants1-0, 100% 134VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-1, 0% -100Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50011-3, 79% 861vs Team Under .5001-3, 25% -219Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog7-3, 70% 549Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -236Pittsburgh Pirates
When Dario Agrazal Starts2-1, 67% 117When Logan Webb Starts1-2, 33% -61Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD39-31, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-33, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dario Agrazal STARTS5-5, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 42-30, 58% +595 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 31-38, 45% -1002 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-6, 45% -39 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-6, 33% -340

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 44-28, 61% +124 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 38-31, 55% -20 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 3-8, 27% -584 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-6, 33% -340

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-27, 53% + 130 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 32-29, 52% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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