September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros 9/11/2019

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The Houston Astros are 56-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 36-33 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics\' starter Brett Anderson. Framber Valdez has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brett Anderson has a 28% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 66%. In Brett Anderson quality starts the Athletics win 67%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Seth Brown who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Oakland AthleticsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-33, 52% 159Record at Home56-17, 77% 966Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros5-11, 31% -461VS Oakland Athletics11-5, 69% 159Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better31-27, 53% 862vs Team .500 or Better35-25, 58% -225Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog18-22, 45% 52Record As Home Favorite56-17, 77% 966Houston Astros
When Brett Anderson Starts17-12, 59% 440When Framber Valdez Starts3-5, 38% -371Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Oakland AthleticsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% -118Record at Home13-2, 87% 279Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros3-2, 60% 200VS Oakland Athletics2-3, 40% -189Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better7-4, 64% 426vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% -232Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -276Record As Home Favorite13-2, 87% 279Houston Astros
When Brett Anderson Starts2-3, 40% -114When Framber Valdez Starts2-1, 67% -14Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oakland AthleticsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD33-32, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME34-36, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-33, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-43, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brett Anderson STARTS12-17, 41% OverOVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS4-4, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 36-33, 52% -343 Houston Astros Home Games: 45-28, 62% -616 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 5-5, 50% -182 Houston Astros Home Games: 12-3, 80% +144

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 41-28, 59% +196 Houston Astros Home Games: 56-17, 77% +966 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-4, 60% -26 Houston Astros Home Games: 13-2, 87% +279

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 30-29, 51% -190 Houston Astros Home Games: 33-32, 51% -220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360

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