September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins 9/11/2019

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The Miami Marlins are 30-45 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 32-37 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins\' starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Zach Davies. Pablo Lopez has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Davies has a 34% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Marlins has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 53%. In Zach Davies quality starts the Brewers win 66%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Neil Walker who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Mike Moustakas who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-37, 46% -482Record at Home30-45, 40% -460Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins2-2, 50% -99VS Milwaukee Brewers2-2, 50% 151Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .50029-29, 50% -813vs Team .500 or Better34-71, 32% -1659Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite12-13, 48% -397Record as Home Underdog28-41, 41% -224Miami Marlins
When Zach Davies Starts16-12, 57% 259When Pablo Lopez Starts6-11, 35% -334Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 82Record at Home5-9, 36% -116Milwaukee Brewers
VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 52VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 52vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -288Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -148Record as Home Underdog5-7, 42% 84Miami Marlins
When Zach Davies Starts2-2, 50% 45When Pablo Lopez Starts0-3, 0% -300Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-38, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME41-28, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-45, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Zach Davies STARTS9-19, 32% OverOVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS6-11, 35% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 32-37, 46% -1008 Miami Marlins Home Games: 44-31, 59% -86 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-3, 70% +358 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-7, 50% -219

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 33-36, 48% -1043 Miami Marlins Home Games: 44-31, 59% -201 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -122 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-6, 57% -121

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 27-36, 43% -1260 Miami Marlins Home Games: 28-27, 51% -170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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