September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres 9/11/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Chicago Cubs are 30-42 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 33-39 at home. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Chris Paddack is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Cole Hamels. Chris Paddack has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cole Hamels has a 35% chance of a QS. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Padres has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 45%. In Cole Hamels quality starts the Cubs win 64%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Anthony Rizzo who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-42, 42% -1493Record at Home33-39, 46% -1198San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres3-1, 75% 111VS Chicago Cubs1-3, 25% -117Chicago Cubs
vs Team Under .50040-26, 61% 115vs Team .500 or Better36-41, 47% -122Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog10-20, 33% -819Record As Home Favorite27-24, 53% -408San Diego Padres
When Cole Hamels Starts14-10, 58% 103When Chris Paddack Starts12-11, 52% -114Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -31Record at Home5-8, 38% -372Chicago Cubs
VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 70VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team Under .5009-0, 100% 677vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -607Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 281Record As Home Favorite4-3, 57% -11Chicago Cubs
When Cole Hamels Starts1-4, 20% -353When Chris Paddack Starts1-3, 25% -223San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-30, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-33, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Cole Hamels STARTS11-12, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS9-12, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 38-34, 53% -230 San Diego Padres Home Games: 39-33, 54% +545 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-5, 64% +445 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-7, 46% -155

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 43-29, 60% +806 San Diego Padres Home Games: 39-33, 54% -270 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-6, 57% +149 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-5, 62% +71

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 30-27, 53% + 30 San Diego Padres Home Games: 34-29, 54% + 210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio