September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 9/11/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Toronto Blue Jays are 27-42 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 40-29 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Trent Thornton is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox\' starter Bobby Poyner. Trent Thornton has a 26% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bobby Poyner has a 20% chance of a QS. If Trent Thornton has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 50%. In Bobby Poyner quality starts the Red Sox win 79%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 79% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Bo Bichette who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-29, 58% 65Record at Home27-42, 39% -1152Boston Red Sox
VS Toronto Blue Jays10-6, 62% -54VS Boston Red Sox6-10, 38% 54Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .50050-26, 66% 75vs Team Under .50027-36, 43% -1223Boston Red Sox
Record as Road Favorite31-20, 61% -84Record as Home Underdog16-27, 37% -436Boston Red Sox
When Bobby Poyner Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Trent Thornton Starts9-18, 33% -790Boston Red Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-3, 73% 384Record at Home5-6, 45% -1Boston Red Sox
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50011-3, 79% 481vs Team Under .5004-5, 44% -108Boston Red Sox
Record as Road Favorite5-2, 71% 179Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 231Toronto Blue Jays
When Bobby Poyner Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Trent Thornton Starts0-4, 0% -400Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD41-24, 63% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-35, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-41, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-43, 43% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Bobby Poyner STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Trent Thornton STARTS17-9, 65% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 35-34, 51% -525 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 35-34, 51% +231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-5, 55% -303 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-8, 27% -500

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 43-26, 62% +495 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 37-32, 54% -466 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-3, 73% +373 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-7, 36% -444

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 39-25, 61% + 1150 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 32-26, 55% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio