September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies 9/11/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-31 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 43-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Zach Eflin has a 30% chance of a QS and Dallas Keuchel a 25% chance. If Zach Eflin has a quality start the Phillies has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 55%. If Dallas Keuchel has a quality start the Braves has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road43-27, 61% 2236Record at Home42-31, 58% 41Atlanta Braves
VS Philadelphia Phillies7-6, 54% -58VS Atlanta Braves6-7, 46% -236Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better48-35, 58% 2006vs Team .500 or Better44-40, 52% 119Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite25-10, 71% 878Record as Home Underdog5-8, 38% -204Atlanta Braves
When Dallas Keuchel Starts9-6, 60% 64When Zach Eflin Starts9-15, 38% -736Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 339Record at Home7-6, 54% 41Atlanta Braves
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-0, 100% 118VS Atlanta Braves0-1, 0% -100Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better6-2, 75% 404vs Team .500 or Better7-2, 78% 495Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -33Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% 33Philadelphia Phillies
When Dallas Keuchel Starts5-0, 100% 340When Zach Eflin Starts2-2, 50% -33Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-31, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME34-35, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS3-11, 21% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zach Eflin STARTS12-12, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 42-28, 60% +320 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 37-36, 51% -494 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-4, 43% -148 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-6, 54% +80

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 44-26, 63% +886 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 43-30, 59% +121 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-5, 29% -310 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-7, 46% -182

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 32-31, 51% -210 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 30-32, 48% -520 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio