September 11, 2019 5:30 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets 9/11/2019

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The New York Mets are 39-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 38-36 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter Steven Matz is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Robbie Ray. Steven Matz has a 36% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Robbie Ray has a 29% chance of a QS. If Steven Matz has a quality start the Mets has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 61%. In Robbie Ray quality starts the Diamondbacks win 61%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-36, 51% 682Record at Home39-29, 57% -17Arizona Diamondbacks
VS New York Mets2-2, 50% -19VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-2, 50% -45Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better32-36, 47% 257vs Team .500 or Better39-53, 42% -1337Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog27-29, 48% 500Record As Home Favorite31-24, 56% -445Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts16-13, 55% 293When Steven Matz Starts14-12, 54% 204Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-5, 58% 231Record at Home5-8, 38% -422Arizona Diamondbacks
VS New York Mets0-1, 0% -100VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-0, 100% 43New York Mets
vs Team Under .50012-7, 63% 384vs Team .500 or Better6-12, 33% -685Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog6-4, 60% 250Record As Home Favorite4-8, 33% -559Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts3-1, 75% 209When Steven Matz Starts3-2, 60% 95Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD36-35, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-30, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-47, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS14-14, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Steven Matz STARTS12-12, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 39-35, 53% -316 New York Mets Home Games: 36-32, 53% +1485 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-6, 50% +50 New York Mets Home Games: 6-7, 46% +119

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 41-33, 55% -243 New York Mets Home Games: 37-31, 54% -526 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-6, 50% -122 New York Mets Home Games: 5-8, 38% -419

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 29-36, 45% -1060 New York Mets Home Games: 37-26, 59% + 840 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 2-8, 20% -680 New York Mets Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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