August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies 8/5/2022

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 27-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 19-31 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies\' starter Kyle Gibson is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Josiah Gray. Kyle Gibson has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josiah Gray has a 39% chance of a QS. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Phillies has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 73%. In Josiah Gray quality starts the Nationals win 51%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Luke Voit who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-31, 38% -59Record at Home27-25, 52% -483Washington Nationals
VS Philadelphia Phillies2-7, 22% -344VS Washington Nationals7-2, 78% 156Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better17-40, 30% -938vs Team Under .50030-19, 61% 43Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog19-30, 39% 41Record As Home Favorite22-21, 51% -770Washington Nationals
When Josiah Gray Starts9-12, 43% 93When Kyle Gibson Starts13-8, 62% 564Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -36Record at Home4-5, 44% -122Washington Nationals
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-2, 33% -8VS Washington Nationals2-1, 67% -10Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better6-15, 29% -217vs Team Under .5009-4, 69% 255Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog4-8, 33% -36Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -310Washington Nationals
When Josiah Gray Starts2-2, 50% 197When Kyle Gibson Starts3-1, 75% 295Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-22, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-23, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-40, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-40, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Josiah Gray STARTS10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Gibson STARTS10-10, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 26-24, 52% +477 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 24-28, 46% +46 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-6, 50% +349 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-4, 56% +348

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 29-21, 58% -480 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 26-26, 50% -751 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -25 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-6, 33% -380

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 20-23, 47% -530 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 22-21, 51% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140

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