August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins 8/5/2022

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The Minnesota Twins are 28-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 25-25 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Tyler Mahle is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Jose Berrios. Tyler Mahle has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Berrios has a 29% chance of a QS. If Tyler Mahle has a quality start the Twins has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 57%. In Jose Berrios quality starts the Blue Jays win 76%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 76% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alejandro Kirk who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-25, 50% -390Record at Home28-24, 54% -471Toronto Blue Jays
VS Minnesota Twins2-2, 50% -59VS Toronto Blue Jays2-2, 50% 154Minnesota Twins
vs Team .500 or Better28-34, 45% -1214vs Team .500 or Better28-32, 47% -514Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite18-15, 55% -223Record as Home Underdog4-10, 29% -538Toronto Blue Jays
When Jose Berrios Starts16-5, 76% 562When Tyler Mahle Starts8-11, 42% -156Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -74Record at Home4-6, 40% -332Toronto Blue Jays
VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 82VS Toronto Blue Jays0-1, 0% -100Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team Under .50010-2, 83% 303vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -505Toronto Blue Jays
Record as Road Favorite6-3, 67% 126Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Toronto Blue Jays
When Jose Berrios Starts5-0, 100% 217When Tyler Mahle Starts2-0, 100% 234Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-24, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-28, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-47, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS13-7, 65% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Mahle STARTS13-6, 68% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 17-33, 34% -1840 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 16-36, 31% -2436 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-7, 36% -445 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-7, 30% -504

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-25, 50% -629 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 29-23, 56% -456 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-6, 45% -272 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-6, 40% -332

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 28-20, 58% + 600 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 28-16, 64% + 1040 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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