The Los Angeles Dodgers are 35-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 30-23 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tony Gonsolin has a 36% chance of a QS and Sean Manaea a 40% chance. If Tony Gonsolin has a quality start the Dodgers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 67%. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Padres has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Josh Bell who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-23, 57% 601 | Record at Home | 35-15, 70% 259 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-5, 29% -210 | VS San Diego Padres | 5-2, 71% 125 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-23, 47% -137 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-14, 60% 57 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-10, 62% 1023 | Record As Home Favorite | 35-15, 70% 259 | San Diego Padres |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 10-9, 53% -229 | When Tony Gonsolin Starts | 15-4, 79% 465 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -172 | Record at Home | 10-2, 83% 261 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 212 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 40 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 212 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-2, 83% 261 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 3-1, 75% 70 | When Tony Gonsolin Starts | 3-1, 75% 63 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-26, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-27, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-35, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS | 11-7, 61% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tony Gonsolin STARTS | 5-14, 26% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 29-24, 55% +310 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 27-23, 54% +515 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -54 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +377
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 28-25, 53% -162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 33-17, 66% -95 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -288 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-2, 83% +261
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 14-29, 33% -1790 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 18-25, 42% -950 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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