August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers 8/5/2022

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 35-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 30-23 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tony Gonsolin has a 36% chance of a QS and Sean Manaea a 40% chance. If Tony Gonsolin has a quality start the Dodgers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 67%. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Padres has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Josh Bell who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-23, 57% 601Record at Home35-15, 70% 259San Diego Padres
VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-5, 29% -210VS San Diego Padres5-2, 71% 125Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better20-23, 47% -137vs Team .500 or Better21-14, 60% 57Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog16-10, 62% 1023Record As Home Favorite35-15, 70% 259San Diego Padres
When Sean Manaea Starts10-9, 53% -229When Tony Gonsolin Starts15-4, 79% 465Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -172Record at Home10-2, 83% 261Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 212vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 40San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 212Record As Home Favorite10-2, 83% 261Los Angeles Dodgers
When Sean Manaea Starts3-1, 75% 70When Tony Gonsolin Starts3-1, 75% 63San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-26, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-27, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-8, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-35, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS11-7, 61% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tony Gonsolin STARTS5-14, 26% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 29-24, 55% +310 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 27-23, 54% +515 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -54 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +377

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 28-25, 53% -162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 33-17, 66% -95 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -288 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-2, 83% +261

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 14-29, 33% -1790 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 18-25, 42% -950 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio