August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles 8/5/2022

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The Baltimore Orioles are 29-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 19-33 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles\' starter Dean Kremer is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Mitch Keller. Dean Kremer has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 34% chance of a QS. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 71%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 54%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Anthony Santander who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-33, 37% -164Record at Home29-20, 59% 1472Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better18-33, 35% 220vs Team Under .50027-16, 63% 1457Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog18-32, 36% -140Record As Home Favorite9-3, 75% 407Baltimore Orioles
When Mitch Keller Starts5-13, 28% -430When Dean Kremer Starts5-3, 62% 265Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% 108Record at Home9-3, 75% 698Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-5, 17% -406vs Team Under .50011-2, 85% 1051Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog6-8, 43% 108Record As Home Favorite4-0, 100% 320Baltimore Orioles
When Mitch Keller Starts1-4, 20% -259When Dean Kremer Starts2-2, 50% 9Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-30, 39% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-23, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-11, 21% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-38, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS7-9, 44% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS3-5, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 32-20, 62% +1621 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 24-25, 49% +469 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-4, 71% +531 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-8, 33% -242

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 36-16, 69% +619 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 23-26, 47% -997 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-5, 64% +98 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-7, 42% -339

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-26, 45% -760 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 21-19, 52% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480

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