August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals 8/5/2022

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The New York Yankees are 29-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 32-20 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Nestor Cortes Jr. is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Dakota Hudson. Nestor Cortes Jr. has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dakota Hudson has a 37% chance of a QS. If Nestor Cortes Jr. has a quality start the Yankees has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 60%. In Dakota Hudson quality starts the Cardinals win 72%. He has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York YankeesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-21, 58% -119Record at Home32-20, 62% 391St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better40-26, 61% -11vs Team .500 or Better19-27, 41% -609New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite25-16, 61% -121Record as Home Underdog8-9, 47% 21St. Louis Cardinals
When Nestor Cortes Jr. Starts13-5, 72% 257When Dakota Hudson Starts8-11, 42% -389New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York YankeesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-7, 42% -398Record at Home8-4, 67% 218St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -700vs Team .500 or Better8-8, 50% 93St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 62% 2Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -62New York Yankees
When Nestor Cortes Jr. Starts3-1, 75% 62When Dakota Hudson Starts0-3, 0% -300New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-23, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-23, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-3, 75% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON30-45, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes Jr. STARTS9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS9-10, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 25-25, 50% +36 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 30-22, 58% +823 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-7, 42% -135 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -109

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 30-20, 60% +25 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 33-19, 63% +494 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 10-2, 83% +540 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-4, 67% +153

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 27-18, 60% + 720 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 17-23, 42% -830 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 9-2, 82% + 680 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370

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