August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 8/5/2022

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The Chicago Cubs are 20-32 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 25-29 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Justin Steele is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins\' starter Trevor Rogers. Justin Steele has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 23% chance of a QS. If Justin Steele has a quality start the Cubs has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 72%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 53%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Miami MarlinsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-29, 46% -233Record at Home20-32, 38% -1204Miami Marlins
VS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesVS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50028-23, 55% -205vs Team Under .50019-21, 48% -391Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite10-4, 71% 378Record as Home Underdog11-20, 35% -628Miami Marlins
When Trevor Rogers Starts5-14, 26% -902When Justin Steele Starts6-10, 38% -303Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Miami MarlinsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 88Record at Home3-5, 38% -254Miami Marlins
VS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesVS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-5, 44% -246vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 139Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 132Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -175Miami Marlins
When Trevor Rogers Starts0-4, 0% -400When Justin Steele Starts0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami MarlinsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-28, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-24, 51% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS9-7, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Justin Steele STARTS9-6, 60% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 30-24, 56% +102 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 23-29, 44% -424 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-6, 45% -182 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-5, 38% -254

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 35-19, 65% +619 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 23-29, 44% -1026 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-5, 55% -78 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -107

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 24-19, 56% + 310 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 18-26, 41% -1060 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130

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