August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians 8/5/2022

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The Houston Astros are 35-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 26-21 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians\' starter Hunter Gaddis. Framber Valdez has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hunter Gaddis has a 36% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 63%. In Hunter Gaddis quality starts the Guardians win 68%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-21, 62% 571Record at Home26-21, 55% 12Houston Astros
VS Cleveland Guardians3-1, 75% 51VS Houston Astros1-3, 25% -115Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better31-15, 67% 810vs Team .500 or Better25-23, 52% 755Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite29-15, 66% 486Record as Home Underdog9-13, 41% -237Houston Astros
When Framber Valdez Starts12-8, 60% -42When Hunter Gaddis Starts0-0 No GamesCleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 26Record at Home7-4, 64% 10Houston Astros
VS Cleveland Guardians1-0, 100% 50VS Houston Astros0-1, 0% -100Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better10-7, 59% -88vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 91Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite8-4, 67% 126Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -204Houston Astros
When Framber Valdez Starts2-2, 50% -56When Hunter Gaddis Starts0-0 No GamesCleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-35, 34% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-21, 53% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-35, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-37, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS8-12, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Hunter Gaddis STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-32, 43% -1417 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 27-20, 57% -9 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-10, 23% -744 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-4, 64% +6

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 30-26, 54% -437 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 31-16, 66% +550 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-6, 54% -144 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 9-2, 82% +318

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-23, 51% -130 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 16-23, 41% -930 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 1-8, 11% -780

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