August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers 8/5/2022

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 18-30 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers\' starter Eric Lauer is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Robert Dugger. Eric Lauer has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Robert Dugger has a 29% chance of a QS. If Eric Lauer has a quality start the Brewers has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 74%. In Robert Dugger quality starts the Reds win 55%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Willy Adames who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Donovan Solano who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 40% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-30, 38% -370Record at Home26-20, 57% -458Cincinnati Reds
VS Milwaukee Brewers2-7, 22% -400VS Cincinnati Reds7-2, 78% 224Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better20-39, 34% -934vs Team Under .50032-27, 54% -735Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog18-29, 38% -270Record As Home Favorite25-17, 60% -285Cincinnati Reds
When Robert Dugger Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Eric Lauer Starts12-7, 63% 286Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% 260Record at Home6-4, 60% -93Cincinnati Reds
VS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-5, 58% 377vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesCincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 260Record As Home Favorite6-4, 60% -93Cincinnati Reds
When Robert Dugger Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Eric Lauer Starts2-2, 50% -44Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-24, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-20, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-39, 51% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Robert Dugger STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Eric Lauer STARTS9-7, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 31-17, 65% +1334 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 19-27, 41% -837 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-3, 62% +345 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-5, 50% +292

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 31-17, 65% +98 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 25-21, 54% -626 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-4, 50% -214 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-5, 50% -277

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 15-26, 37% -1360 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 25-16, 61% + 740 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio