The Kansas City Royals are 23-30 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 27-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals\' starter Zack Greinke is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox\' starter Josh Winckowski. Zack Greinke has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josh Winckowski has a 27% chance of a QS. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Royals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 60%. In Josh Winckowski quality starts the Red Sox win 70%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Nick Pratto who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-27, 50% 190 | Record at Home | 23-30, 43% -688 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 113 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 18-10, 64% 384 | vs Team Under .500 | 18-19, 49% 125 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-7, 65% 357 | Record as Home Underdog | 14-20, 41% -414 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Josh Winckowski Starts | 4-5, 44% -136 | When Zack Greinke Starts | 10-8, 56% 339 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -310 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 347 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-0, 100% 113 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-7, 36% -157 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% 56 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 243 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Josh Winckowski Starts | 1-3, 25% -177 | When Zack Greinke Starts | 3-1, 75% 318 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-28, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-27, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-47, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Josh Winckowski STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Greinke STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 30-24, 56% +494 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 30-23, 57% +333 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-5, 55% +203 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-6, 57% +105
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 31-23, 57% +76 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 31-22, 58% +239 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-4, 64% +97 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -110
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 24-22, 52% -20 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 23-25, 48% -450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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