August 05, 2022 3:42 AM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 8/5/2022

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The New York Mets are 32-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 26-21 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Braves\' starter Ian Anderson. Taijuan Walker has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ian Anderson has a 28% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Mets has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 68%. In Ian Anderson quality starts the Braves win 65%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Brandon Nimmo who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Austin Riley who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Atlanta BravesRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-21, 55% -174Record at Home32-17, 65% 460New York Mets
VS New York Mets3-5, 38% -205VS Atlanta Braves5-3, 62% 225New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better20-23, 47% -647vs Team .500 or Better28-21, 57% 446New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog7-9, 44% -121Record As Home Favorite30-13, 70% 650New York Mets
When Ian Anderson Starts13-7, 65% 177When Taijuan Walker Starts11-7, 61% 222New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Atlanta BravesRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% -180Record at Home6-4, 60% 35New York Mets
VS New York Mets1-3, 25% -243VS Atlanta Braves3-1, 75% 228New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -464vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 174New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog0-1, 0% -100Record As Home Favorite6-4, 60% 35New York Mets
When Ian Anderson Starts3-1, 75% 41When Taijuan Walker Starts3-1, 75% 140New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-20, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-21, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-1, 86% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-48, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON28-47, 37% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Ian Anderson STARTS9-8, 53% OverOVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS6-12, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 19-28, 40% -425 New York Mets Home Games: 24-25, 49% -357 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-5, 38% +26 New York Mets Home Games: 5-5, 50% +18

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 25-22, 53% -467 New York Mets Home Games: 31-18, 63% +264 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-3, 62% +47 New York Mets Home Games: 6-4, 60% +35

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 27-13, 68% + 1270 New York Mets Home Games: 18-20, 47% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-1, 86% + 490 New York Mets Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240

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