August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres 8/14/2019

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The San Diego Padres are 28-32 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 39-22 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Cal Quantrill is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Jalen Beeks. Cal Quantrill has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jalen Beeks has a 26% chance of a QS. If Cal Quantrill has a quality start the Padres has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 65%. In Jalen Beeks quality starts the Rays win 58%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Austin Meadows who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-22, 64% 975Record at Home28-32, 47% -926Tampa Bay Rays
VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 96VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50040-18, 69% 617vs Team .500 or Better31-31, 50% 385Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog15-8, 65% 822Record As Home Favorite23-22, 51% -497Tampa Bay Rays
When Jalen Beeks Starts1-1, 50% -28When Cal Quantrill Starts4-5, 44% -140Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-4, 71% 469Record at Home5-5, 50% -135Tampa Bay Rays
VS San Diego Padres1-0, 100% 96VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50011-4, 73% 437vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -69Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 356Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50% -129Tampa Bay Rays
When Jalen Beeks Starts1-1, 50% -28When Cal Quantrill Starts2-1, 67% 56San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-28, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-28, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-3, 77% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-45, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jalen Beeks STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 29-32, 48% -1231 San Diego Padres Home Games: 33-27, 55% +600 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-10, 29% -645 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-3, 70% +338

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 36-25, 59% +192 San Diego Padres Home Games: 31-29, 52% -441 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-6, 57% -4 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-3, 70% +257

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 23-27, 46% -670 San Diego Padres Home Games: 30-23, 57% + 470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-0, 100% + 700

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