August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals 8/14/2019

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The Kansas City Royals are 23-35 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 27-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals\' starter Brad Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Dakota Hudson. Brad Keller has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dakota Hudson has a 27% chance of a QS. If Brad Keller has a quality start the Royals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 54%. In Dakota Hudson quality starts the Cardinals win 77%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 77% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Hunter Dozier who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lane Thomas who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-32, 46% -522Record at Home23-35, 40% -990St. Louis Cardinals
VS Kansas City Royals1-1, 50% -41VS St. Louis Cardinals1-1, 50% 54Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50031-20, 61% 502vs Team .500 or Better23-44, 34% -896St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite9-9, 50% -184Record as Home Underdog14-27, 34% -909St. Louis Cardinals
When Dakota Hudson Starts15-8, 65% 585When Brad Keller Starts9-16, 36% -500St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 92Record at Home5-6, 45% -60St. Louis Cardinals
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5009-1, 90% 622vs Team .500 or Better4-11, 27% -457St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 82Record as Home Underdog3-4, 43% -25St. Louis Cardinals
When Dakota Hudson Starts3-2, 60% 95When Brad Keller Starts2-3, 40% -53St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD27-26, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-21, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-36, 51% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS9-13, 41% OverOVER-UNDER IN Brad Keller STARTS9-15, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 28-31, 47% -557 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 26-32, 45% -810 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-9, 31% -483 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-5, 55% +122

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 31-28, 53% -362 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 35-23, 60% +389 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -477 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-4, 64% +157

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 23-22, 51% -120 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 26-20, 57% + 400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

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